Future Of Freight Demand

Client: National Infrastructure Commission
Date: 2019
Summary: To provide an evidence-based analysis for the future of freight transport demand up to 205

The Questions

• How might total demand for freight transport develop up to 2050?
• How will changes in freight demand by economic sector, changes in technology and potential changes in policy and regulation affect demand by freight mode up to 2050?

The Solution

Determined the key historic drivers of
change in freight demand, origins and destinations (domestic and
international trade) and mode Developed qualitative scenarios for the
future of freight transport demand in consultation with the client and key
sector stakeholdersProduced freight demand forecasts to
2050 using the GB Freight Model to estimate impacts in relation to
future demand and modal split.

Outcome

Outputs used as evidence in NIC report Better Delivery: The Challenge for Freight, published in April 2019